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S&P 500 klesá kvůli slabým údajům o maloobchodním prodeji a obavám z další eskalace konfliktu mezi Íránem a Izraelem

Index S&P 500 v úterý klesl, protože investoři vstřebávali slabé údaje o maloobchodním prodeji a pokračující konflikt mezi Izraelem a Íránem se zdá být na pokraji další eskalace, když prezident Trump nyní vyzývá Írán k „bezpodmínečné kapitulaci“.

Ve 20:57 SEČ index Dow Jones Industrial Average klesl o 335 bodů, tj. o 0,8 %, index S&P 500 poklesl o 0,8 % a index Nasdaq Composite o 0,9 %.

Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and Gold – April 6th
05:50 2026-04-06 UTC--4
Exchange Rates analysis

EUR/USD

Analysis: On the chart of the euro, price movement since late January has been defined by a downward wave algorithm. Over the past month, the wave structure has formed a corrective flat. The price extremes have created a horizontal channel. The final part (C) is developing within the correction structure.

Forecast: Next week, sideways movement is expected within opposing zones. Early in the week, a downward movement toward the lower boundary of the channel is likely. Growth may resume closer to the weekend.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

  • 1.1630–1.1680

Support:

  • 1.1450–1.1400

Recommendations:Selling: May be profitable with reduced position size and short intraday trades.Buying: Premature until reversal signals appear near resistance.

USD/JPY

Analysis: The upward wave that began in April last year is forming its final part (C). Since March 13, a counter correction has been developing, taking the form of a shifting flat and not yet complete.

Forecast: In the coming days, sideways movement along the support zone is expected. A brief dip below support is possible. Later, conditions for a reversal may form, with growth resuming in the second half of the week.

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Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

  • 160.90–161.40

Support:

  • 158.80–158.30

Recommendations:Selling: High risk, low potential.Buying: Relevant after confirmed reversal signals near resistance.

GBP/JPY

Analysis: Since July last year, the main direction has been upward. After a zigzag wave ended in late January, a new upward segment began forming during a flat phase. The middle part (B) of this wave is nearing completion.

Forecast: In the next couple of days, sideways movement with a slight downward bias is expected. A reversal may form near support, with upward movement resuming in the second half of the week.

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Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

  • 212.50–213.00

Support:

  • 209.40–208.90

Recommendations:Selling: High risk, low potential.Buying: Attractive after confirmed reversal signals near resistance.

USD/CAD

Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows the formation of an upward wave starting from late January. The structure is not yet complete. Since late March, a downward corrective move with reversal potential has been forming.

Forecast: In the next few days, sideways movement is expected, with a possible rise toward resistance. In the second half of the week, a reversal and decline toward support is likely. This support aligns with a strong higher timeframe reversal zone.

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Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

  • 1.3960–1.4010

Support:

  • 1.3870–1.3820

Recommendations:Selling: Risky, limited potential.Buying: Possible after signals appear; upside is limited by resistance.

NZD/USD

Analysis: The short-term unfinished wave is downward, starting from late January. In recent weeks, an internal correction has formed. The downward move since April 3 has reversal potential.

Forecast: At the start of the week, sideways movement is expected. A temporary upward move toward resistance is possible. After that, a reversal and continued decline are likely. The support zone marks the lower boundary of the expected weekly range.

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Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

  • 0.5730–0.5780

Support:

  • 0.5600–0.5550

Recommendations:Buying: High risk, low potential.Selling: May become the main strategy after confirmed reversal signals near resistance.

Gold

Analysis: The short-term wave in gold has been downward since January 29. Over the past two months, prices have moved sideways, forming a corrective part (B) in the shape of a shifting flat. The correction is not yet complete. Price is approaching the lower boundary of a higher timeframe reversal zone.

Forecast: In the next couple of days, sideways movement is most likely, possibly with a decline toward support. In the second half of the week, volatility may increase, with a reversal and renewed upward movement.

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Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

  • 4780.0–4800.0

Support:

  • 4600.0–4580.0

Recommendations:Selling: Limited potential, risk of losses.Buying: Relevant after confirmed signals near support.

Notes: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A–B–C). The analysis focuses on the latest unfinished wave on each timeframe. Dashed lines indicate expected movements.

Important: Wave analysis does not account for the duration of price movements in time.

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Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.
Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.