The easing of the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve and China's intention to stimulate its economy create favorable conditions for Brazil. Despite this, Moody's, which upgraded Brazil's rating to the highest junk level, could not convince investors. The Brazilian real and the country's stock market are showing weak results. Experts note that rating agencies are focused on past events, and markets are looking to the future. Since the beginning of 2024, the Brazilian real has lost about 11% of its value, and the benchmark Bovespa Brazilian stock index has declined by 1.9%. Despite the positive external factors, the Brazilian real continues to fall. Investors fear that the Brazilian economy is overheated, which could lead to a tightening of monetary policy. Last month, the Brazilian Central Bank raised the rate by 0.25% to 10.75% per annum, which also does not inspire optimism.
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