Stock market analytics, financial forecasts

Forexmart's Market Analysis section provides up-to-date information about the financial market. The overviews are intended to give you an insight into current trends, financial forecasts, global economic reports, and political news that influence the market.

Disclaimer:  Information provided here to retail and professional clients does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or an investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance.

Čínský deník Global Times varuje, že USA budou zasaženy „vysokými cly“ z jiných zemí

Americká cla způsobí americké ekonomice značné škody, protože ostatní země udeří „vysokými cly“ na americké zboží, varovala čínská státní média a ponechala tak Pekingu otevřený prostor pro další opatření, protože se blíží další vlna poplatků.

Sotva dva měsíce po návratu do Bílého domu vyvolal prezident Donald Trump obchodní konflikty s Čínou, Kanadou, Mexikem a Evropskou unií. Trump rovněž hrozí recipročními cly všem zemím, které zdaňují dovoz do USA, přičemž tyto odvody by mohly začít platit 2. dubna.

Čína rychle reagovala protiopatřeními v únoru a březnu, kdy vstoupila v platnost dvě kola Trumpových cel. A všeobecně se očekává, že Peking rychle zareaguje i na dubnová cla, pokud k nim dojde.

„V reakci na americká cla nebudou obchodní partneři nečinně přihlížet,“ napsal v úterý v redakčním článku nacionalistický čínský bulvární deník Global Times.

„Odvetná opatření v podobě vysokých cel na americký vývoz by se pro mnohé země mohla stát jednou z možností.“

Peking uvalil odvetná cla na americký zemědělský a potravinářský vývoz, uvalil vývozní a investiční omezení na 25 amerických firem, pozastavil licence na dovoz sóji třem americkým firmám a zastavil dovoz americké kulatiny.

Čína rovněž zahájila vyšetřování některých amerických výrobků z optických vláken.

Trading Signals for GOLD on June 18-20, 2026: sell below $4,320 - $4,350 (21 SMA - 6/8 Murray)
02:22 2026-06-18 UTC--4
Exchange Rates analysis

Gold is trading around $4,317 after a strong rebound from its low of $4,218, which coincided with the gap left by last week's closing price and this week's opening price.

This sharp decline in gold was due to the Fed's policy decision reflecting a hawkish outlook, which put downward pressure on gold, causing it to fall from its daily high of $4,381 to $4,218.

Gold is expected to resume its downtrend in the coming hours, but we should exercise caution, as it could still continue rising to reach $4,350—where the daily R1 is located—and this zone could present an opportunity to open short positions.

On the other hand, if we monitor the price of gold and it consolidates below $4,320—where the 21 SMA is located—this could be seen as an opportunity to open short positions with targets at $4,300, $4,257, and $4,220.

A pullback toward the $4,375 area could signal a new bullish scenario. So, if the price continues to rise, it is more likely to reach the 200 EMA around $4,449.

Technically, on the H4 chart, we observe the formation of a triple-top pattern, which suggests that gold could reach the 5/8 Murray levels around the psychological level of $4,000 in the short term.

For this bearish pattern to maintain a strong signal, XAU/USD should settle below $4,375.

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Risk Warning:
Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.
Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.