Monday, September 27 Although the macroeconomic calendar is almost always empty on Mondays, this time you will not be bored. The main event of the day will be the publication of data on orders for durable goods in the United States, which may decrease by 0.2%. This means that consumer activity continues to decline, which, of course, will negatively affect economic growth and lead to a weakening of the dollar. You should also pay attention to the speeches of the heads of the British and European central banks. Tuesday, September 28 The head of the US regulator will speak on Tuesday. The US will also present statistics from the Conference Board on the consumer confidence index in September. Otherwise, the day will not bring any interesting publications, since the economic calendar is absolutely empty. And against this background, the growth of the dollar may well resume. Wednesday, September 29 The only thing worth paying attention to on Wednesday is the data on the lending market in the UK. And although the number of approved mortgage loans should be reduced from 75.2 thousand to 72.6 thousand, the volume of mortgage lending may increase by 0.5 billion pounds. And since such results will level each other, the dynamics of the pound will be able to determine the statistics on consumer lending, the volume of which should be reduced by 1.2 billion pounds. In this regard, the prospects for the pound do not look the best. But the Canadian dollar has a good chance to strengthen its position due to a slowdown in the growth of producer prices from 15.4% to 14.9%. Thursday, September 30 Thursday may start with a noticeable weakening of the yen, as retail sales may slow from 2.4% to 1.0%, and industrial production may decline from 11.6% to 9.5%. In other words, we are talking about a full-scale slowdown in the pace of economic recovery. The UK will present GDP data for the second quarter. However, they will not affect the market in any way, since they should coincide with the preliminary estimates. The same will happen with similar data in the United States. In addition, the US will publish the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits: they are expected to decrease. Friday, October 01 At the end of the week, the single European currency may be under strong pressure. The fact is that preliminary data on inflation should show its growth from 3.0% to 3.1%. And maybe even up to 3.3%. At the same time, it is also necessary to take into account the fact that the ECB, unlike the Fed, has not yet announced specific plans to tighten monetary policy. So the increase in inflation will be perceived as a negative.
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