Piyasa güncellemeleri ve tahminleri

Finansal piyasa güncellemeleri, Merkez Bankalarının politika duyuruları, finansal göstergeler ve sektör üzerinde etkisi olabilecek diğer ilgili haberler de dahil olmak üzere ForExmart'tan en son ekonomik haberleri alın.

Yasal Uyarı:  ForexMart yatırım tavsiyesi sunmaz ve sağlanan analizler gelecekteki sonuçların vaadi olarak yorumlanmamalıdır.

Goldman Sachs analysts expect a recession in the UK in the IV quarter


Ağustos, 29 2022
watermark Economic news

Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expect the UK economy to enter recession by the end of 2022. According to their expectations, the country's GDP will shrink by about 1% by the middle of next year. At the same time, the volume of the economy throughout 2023 is likely to decrease by 0.6%. Earlier, experts predicted the growth of the British economy by 1.1%.


Economists note that concern about the deterioration of living standards in the UK continues to grow amid the deepening energy crisis. It is expected that the level of real consumption will decrease significantly. 


In August, the Bank of England said that the country's economy would plunge into a recession that would last more than a year. Then the regulator raised the key rate by the maximum step in 27 years – by 50 bp at once, to 1.75% per annum.


Goldman Sachs expects the savings rate of British households to fall below the equilibrium level to a record low of 3.5% in the second quarter of 2023. Real disposable income will decrease by 2.9% and consumer spending by 1.4% by the end of next year.


However, economists doubt that the Bank of England will abandon further tightening of monetary policy. The central bank is expected to raise the rate by 50 bps at the September meeting. In addition, analysts do not rule out an increase in the rate by 25 bps in November and December. In this case, the UK's GDP could fall by 3.4% over the next year.



    






Geri Bildirim

ForexMart is authorized and regulated in various jurisdictions.

(Reg No.23071, IBC 2015) with a registered office at First Floor, SVG Teachers Co-operative Credit Union Limited Uptown Building, Corner of James and Middle Street, Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Restricted Regions: the United States of America, North Korea, Sudan, Syria and some other regions.


© 2015-2025 Tradomart SV Ltd.
Top Top

show error

Unable to load the requested language file: language/turkish/cookies_lang.php

date: 2025-07-01 03:15:10 IP: 216.73.216.143