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Forecast for EUR/USD on March 20, 2023
23:53 2023-03-19 UTC--4

The single European currency was able to overcome the resistance level of 1.0660. It can stay at this level until the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. The level is favorable - the support itself, and the euro approaching the balance indicator line will strengthen the neutral mood. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is close to the local high on March 14 (turquoise line), here we can also expect the oscillator to get weaker and lose its main function.

We will not receive any macro data that can push up the euro until Wednesday; the eurozone trade balance for January will be released today - the forecast is 12.5bn euro against -8.8bn in December. Tomorrow, the ZEW eurozone economic sentiment indicator for March might go down from 29.7 to 23.2 points. No significant data on the US, and we don't expect to receive fresh news on the banking crisis in the near future.

Nevertheless, purely technical factors strengthen the bulls' positions. There's the fact that the price is taking its time before it settles above 1.0660, the consolidation of the oscillator in the positive area, and even the convergence of the price with Marlin creating the potential for a breakthrough into the target range of 1.0758/87. Consolidating below 1.0660, that is, the opening and closing of the daily candle under the level, will remove these growing sentiments.

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On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated above the balance and MACD indicator lines, the Marlin oscillator in the positive area. Everything is rising, but we are waiting for developments. During the consolidation period, one or more false movements can be created.

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外汇本质上有高度的投机性和复杂性,可能并不适合所有投资者。 外汇交易可能会带来重大的收益或损失。 因此,建议您不要承担无法承受的损失。 在使用ForexMart提供的服务之前,请确认外汇交易相关联的风险。 必要时寻求独立的财务意见。请注意,过去的业绩和预测都不是未来结果的可靠指标。