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Stocks on a tightrope as Nvidia earnings call to decide whether rally will continue
22:53 2025-08-24 UTC--5
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Nvidia faces crucial test for the AI boom

All eyes on Wall Street are now fixed on Nvidia's quarterly results, due Wednesday. For many investors, the numbers will be more than just another earnings release. They are seen as a real benchmark for the resilience of the booming artificial intelligence industry.

Tech rally loses steam

After months of impressive gains, the heavyweight tech sector slipped by about 1.6% over the past week. Still, Friday brought some relief as stocks rebounded following remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who signaled that interest rate cuts may be approaching.

The emblem of the AI era

California-based Nvidia has become the ultimate winner of the AI revolution. Its chips are now the backbone of artificial intelligence infrastructure worldwide. In July, the company became the first in history to surpass a four-trillion-dollar market capitalization.

Staggering stock performance

Since October 2022, Nvidia's shares have skyrocketed by more than 1,400%, adding another 30% in 2025 alone. The surge reflects not only enthusiasm for AI but also the rapid expansion of related industries, from energy providers to cooling system manufacturers for massive data centers.

The Magnificent Seven powering markets

According to Goldman Sachs strategists, the so-called Magnificent Seven — which includes Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft — remain the key engines of U.S. corporate earnings. Their performance continues to shape the direction of major stock indexes.

Economic data in focus

Next week, traders will also look beyond Nvidia's earnings to fresh U.S. economic indicators, including consumer sentiment and inflation figures. These reports could determine whether the current stock market rally has the strength to continue.

US stock indexes hit new highs

Despite weakness in the technology sector, Wall Street ended the week on a positive note. The S&P 500 gained about 10 percent since the start of the year, closing at an all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also reached a record on Friday, underlining continued investor optimism about the US economy.

Investors shift their attention

After months of tech-driven growth, some market participants redirected their capital to other industries. Health care and consumer staples, which had been lagging, are now drawing increased interest as investors look for balance in their portfolios.

Asia rallies on hopes for Nvidia and Fed policy

Asian markets rose on Monday, buoyed by expectations of renewed US rate cuts. Investors are also watching closely for Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, which is seen as a key test of whether sky-high valuations in the artificial intelligence sector can be justified.

Fed signals and rate cut expectations

Comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reinforced market confidence that a quarter-point rate cut is likely in September. Futures now price in an 84 percent probability of such a move, with projections pointing to deeper easing by mid-2026, potentially bringing rates down to 3.25 — 3.5 percent.

Impact on bonds and the dollar

These expectations pushed Treasury yields lower and weakened the dollar. While the shift improved the outlook for corporate profits, it also raised concerns that policymakers are bracing for rising risks of slower hiring and a cooling economy.

Inflation remains the key risk

Any unexpected resurgence of inflation could derail the bond rally, especially as the US Treasury prepares to issue a massive 183 billion dollars in new debt this week.

Markets await signal from New York Fed

On Monday, investor focus turned to the upcoming remarks of John Williams, head of the New York Federal Reserve. Traders are keen to see whether his outlook aligns with Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent comments on monetary policy.

Asian markets start the week higher

Regional stocks advanced at the opening of the week. Japan's Nikkei gained 0.6 percent, South Korea's Kospi rose 0.7 percent, and Australia's ASX 200 added 0.4 percent.

China's blue chips drive momentum

The broad MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan climbed 1.1 percent, helped by a one-percent rise in China's blue-chip stocks. The Chinese benchmark has surged nearly 9 percent this month, returning to levels last seen in October of last year. Analysts caution, however, that such rapid gains could trigger a pullback.

Europe and US futures soften

European futures opened weaker, with the EUROSTOXX 50 and Germany's DAX slipping 0.2 percent. US stock futures also edged lower, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both down 0.1 percent after Friday's rally.

Eyes on China and trade agreements

Markets are waiting for more clarity on potential chip supplies to China and the reported deal struck between Beijing and President Donald Trump, under which the Asian chipmaker would transfer 15 percent of revenue from sales of certain advanced semiconductors to the US government.

Intel stake sold at discount

On Friday, Trump announced that the US government will acquire a 9.9 percent stake in Intel for 8.9 billion dollars. The purchase price of 20.47 dollars per share represents a discount of nearly four dollars compared with Intel's closing price of 24.80 dollars.

Dollar steadies after sharp pullback

In currency trading, the US dollar is holding at 147.38 yen after sliding one percent on Friday from a recent high of 148.77. The euro also regained ground, climbing to 1.1698 dollars compared with Friday's low of 1.1583.

ECB looks ahead to September decision

Analysts expect the European Central Bank to keep interest rates unchanged at its September meeting. Still, sources indicate that renewed discussions about possible rate cuts could emerge in the autumn if the eurozone economy shows further signs of weakness.

Gold benefits from weaker dollar

Commodity markets welcomed the softer greenback. Gold prices reached 3365 dollars per ounce, extending gains after a one percent rise late last week.

Oil prices inch higher

Energy markets followed with modest increases. Brent crude advanced to 67.77 dollars per barrel, while US benchmark crude added 0.1 percent to 63.78 dollars.


    






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Kontrakty CFD są złożonymi instrumentami i wiążą się z wysokim ryzykiem szybkiej utraty pieniędzy z powodu dźwigni finansowej. 71.71% kont inwestorów detalicznych traci pieniądze podczas handlu kontraktami CFD. Zastanów się, czy rozumiesz, jak działają kontrakty CFD i czy możesz sobie pozwolić na wysokie ryzyko utraty pieniędzy.